In the enterprise software industry eighty percent of the market (and profits) go to a handful of companies while thousands of other companies fight over the remaining twenty percent. A new startup in this market could challenge one of the three leaders, but the odds are that the startup wouldn’t survive in direct competition. While such dismal odds might discourage anyone from starting up a company in the enterprise software industry, the fact is that every industry has its handful of dominant leaders with many smaller companies scrambling for the remaining crumbs left behind. If you want your company to survive, you must design it from its inception to survive in such a hostile environment, and the best way to do this is through strategic design for acquisition.

http://jonbfisher.blogspot.com/

Jon B. Fisher

U.S. unemployment will surge to 10 percent this year higher than previous Obama administration forecasts because of a recession that was deeper and longer than expected, White House budget chief Peter Orszag said Aug 25th. The administration got it wrong on the way up and will get it wrong on the way down. Now, watch this http://tinyurl.com/mwpszg

Jon B. Fisher

‘Entrepreneurism, Begin With the End in Mind’ plus national unemployment economic forecast and methodology

Jon B. Fisher of Tiburon, California speaks at the Commonwealth Club of California on Aug 5, 2009.

Jon Fisher is a Silicon Valley entrepreneur, adjunct professor and analyst. Fisher co-founded and was Chief Executive Officer of Bharosa, an Oracle Corporation company, which produced the Oracle Adaptive Access Manager. Fisher served as an Oracle VP until December 2007. In April 2008, Fisher predicted U.S. unemployment would rise to 9% by April 2009.

An entrepreneurship aficionado, Fisher is a media commentator and lectures frequently at university business schools. Fisher was named Ernst & Young’s 2007 Entrepreneur of the year in California and has served as CEO of three technology companies in the Silicon Valley over the past 17 years.

Fisher writes for Sandhill.com and the Belvedere Tiburon Chamber Of Commerce and is a trustee of the Nueva School, Buck Institute For Age Research, the Foundation For Accelerated Vascular Research and the Belvedere-Tiburon Landmarks Society (Emeritus).

Fisher’s book ‘Strategic Entrepreneurism’ available at Amazon.com is an invaluable guide to startups of the importance of timing and planning a succesful exit strategy. Now available on the kindle.

You can connect with Jon Fisher on Twitter.

Podcast at RobMcNealy.com
Listen to the podcast interview with Rob McNealy at Startup Radio

Darla Fisher’s boutique in downtown Tiburon, CA (Koze www.getkoze.com) ranked #1 by editors of Marin Magazine http://tinyurl.com/nnace7

It’s interesting that a Google search for <> or <> is blank because the symbol resembles one of the most destructive patterns in the world economy. Plot historical United States, United Kingdom, Japan and Canada national new housing starts and unemployment as lines on a graph and the <> shape leaps out at you symbolizing a potential inverse correlation (i.e. as one goes up the other goes down) between the two economic indicators during the worst recessionary periods. The cycle begins with a sharp decrease in housing starts followed by a sharp increase in unemployment, concluding with a sharp rebound in housing starts followed very closely by a peak and decline in unemployment. It was this striking relationship in only the U.S. data that I incorporated in an April, 2008 forecast predicting U.S. national unemployment would nearly double to 9% by April, 2009 http://tinyurl.com/n68a9y Some traditional economists I respect confirmed that the thesis was “interesting” but perhaps “too loose” or “too simple” to be quantifiably significant. Yet, so far, the thesis holds in other G8 countries (thanks to Kurt Christofferson for data gathering assistance). That is really interesting because the implication is that the world may not be flat –rather the home and resulting commerce may be the center.

Take a look at the 2007-2009 cycles in U.S., UK, Japan and Canada (below) clearly forming the < in the <> cycle. If the cycle completes at the conclusion of the recession as it has in past, severe recessions (see one chart that doesn’t look like the others containing 3 completed U.S. <> cycles), we may be looking at a peak and decline in national unemployment much more quickly than experts are currently predicting just as unemployment spiked more significantly than they predicted at the beginning of the cycle.

I will be discussing this thesis in the context of operationalizing good start-up timing at the Commonwealth Club of California August 5th https://tickets.commonwealthclub.org/open.asp?show=1288

High humidity in Tiburon, CA produced double rainbow without a drop of rain. Notice how the spectrum reverses? Rainbows are caused by a double reflection of sunlight inside the raindrops, and appear at an angle of 50°–53°. As a result of the second reflection, the colours of a secondary rainbow are inverted compared to the primary bow, with blue on the outside and red on the inside.

Daniel Jewett of Marin Magazine reports on life in Tiburon, California
read article here:
http://www.marinmagazine.com/Marin-Magazine/July-2009/Tiburon/

keywords:
Councilwoman Alice Fredericks, koze, Darla Fisher, Friday Nights on Main, Sam’s Anchor Cafe, Historic Ark Row, Main Street, Jon B Fisher, Mayor Fredericks, Belvedere-Tiburon Library, Decker Bullock Sotheby’s International Realty President Bill Bullock, Lydia Sarkissian, Andre Agassi,

Five minutes of what I think about GM and the sector this AM http://tinyurl.com/pfg43d

“Five minutes of what I think about GM and the sector this AM http://tinyurl.com/pfg43d”

Tiburon resident entrepreneur, economics professor and author of Strategic Entrepreneurism talks to ABC about the GM bankruptcy. View video here (courtesy of criticalmention.com): http://tinyurl.com/pfg43d

There are various techniques of restructuring that are familiar in the business world, none of which are being used by the government http://tinyurl.com/cxp9ox